Michael, I don't see how you can make a confident prediction about this. The outcome seems to be largely determined by the emergence of and trajectory of variants. Depending, it could range by more than an order of magnitude. 1918 flu killed ~3% of world pop, a variant mainly
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every infection is another chance at mutation, being a link in an exponential chain isn’t something i want to be a part of
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do you seriously not care about other people? do you seriously not care about the effect on the world? do you seriously not care about long term ailments? anyway, from earlier in the pandemic, these were the rates they'll be lower in the USA today, but you'd get a huge billpic.twitter.com/LFfsr6I4Lq
End of conversation
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Danielle have you seen anything new and official about the two southern hemispheric originating variants more readily attacking the young? I had only seen anecdotal relays - is there something better available now?
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I have not seen any systematic studies yet, but the anecdata are accumulating. Stuff like this, though. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/dec/23/south-african-covid-19-variant-may-be-more-effective-at-spreading …pic.twitter.com/mKcB0ylrPT
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