it seems to me the long form blogs from the lesswrong/rationalist crowd are slightly ahead (by a couple weeks) of twitter in assessing the actual scale or the calamity posed by the new variants and sluggish vaccine roll out, maybe because twitter was distracted by politics & 1/6
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@snigdhar0y told me she worked on Biden's campaign a year ago and she knew he'd win, back then. I dismissed her (very unfairly), she saw something up close that bodes well for his internal strength -
but i think the issue is that people haven't worked out how to be radically honest about what they are doing in this age of media. it is like the addition of tv and twitter to the office consciousness means people can't be honest about states of uncertainty, esp. around bad news
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Representative wished me an happy new year.