*in particular* note that this virus is looking significantly more contagious and more deadly at the same time in contradiction to the trend of more contagious pathogens to be less deadly, maybe related to the fact that it is most infectious early, asymptomatic spreadhttps://twitter.com/DanielleFong/status/1352738045238378496 …
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Replying to @DanielleFong
Speculation: In the next 30 days enough people in vulnerable populations will be vaccinated that 95% of the severe impacts (mortality/hospitalizations) will disappear by end of February/middle of March. CDC has B.1.1.7 at 50% of US cases March 1 1/x
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Replying to @Mihoda @DanielleFong
Older populations get lax and have significant herd immunity amongst themselves. Few cases. Younger populations follow and get hit by a ton of bricks by mid April. 2/x
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yes, it could be quite bad for younger populations where the cytokine storm can kill, in some sense a replace of the 'spanish' flu of 1917-1919 where the second wave, after it evolved, really hit the younger populations
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