There's a lot more than "misinfo" appearing in high level data. UK and Israel mRNA outcomes already adverse vs. slow US and classic vaxing China, Russia, rest of world.https://twitter.com/darshandorsey/status/1345385628649852936?s=19 …
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why would you expect to see substantially more than a ~10% reduction in R with 10% vaccination if it’s already this widespread?
Who said anything about R? New Cases and Deaths are accelerating in the two most mRNA vaccinated populations, with US improvement reversing as well. Timing of trend changes (vs. rest of world) is a smoking gun.
the vaccine will only reduce infections relative to the proportion of the relevant population vaccinated. only reason to expect better than this is in bias toward those likely to get it (e.g. hcws) (and not those most at risk if they get it e.g. elderly) but hcws also have ppe
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