I'm not an epidemiologist, but trick or treating does seem like it would be no more unsafe than time spent in school. It's outside, not in massive groups, plus they're walking around.
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Replying to @RichardGLolz @DanielleFong
The candy from inside multiple houses.
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Replying to @Pravduh15 @DanielleFong
My sense is that that isn't an especially potent vector. But "my sense" != epidemiology
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Replying to @RichardGLolz @Pravduh15
i’m not sure how one is supposed to calculate it when the situation is f’d by default
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Replying to @DanielleFong @Pravduh15
I'm blanking on the epidemiology term for "transmission by people touching stuff and then other people touching that same stuff," but I got the impression that there's less evidence for that as a potent vector than aerosolized or small-droplet transmission.
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Replying to @RichardGLolz @Pravduh15
fomite. transmission. it’s supposed to be lower than prolonged close contact, but outbreaks have been traced to eg a trashcan lid in new zealand, and a gas pump in nova scotia
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Replying to @DanielleFong @Pravduh15
Fomite! Thanks. And yeah, not doubting that it happens. But maybe the fact that you can specify two instances means that it's not happening all the time? But I'm open to the possibility that handing candy out is, in fact, a very bad idea.
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Replying to @RichardGLolz @DanielleFong
It's easy to link transmission to events. Linking the method is more difficult. Usually, I wouldn't rate fomite transmission super high, but we usually aren't eating things from multiple houses...
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Replying to @Pravduh15 @DanielleFong
That makes a lot of sense from an investigative/epidemiological perspective.
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On the other hand, I would think that out of the millions of food-service workers (and high covid rates) in the US, we would have heard about at least one mass-transmission event related to a take out restaurant that couldn't be otherwise explained.
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hard to say, since contact tracing is pretty overwhelmed in the US also not sure about the relative level of protocol adherence for takeout vs halloween
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