I would like to hear predictions for the US elections from the set of people who accurately predicted the pandemichttps://twitter.com/interpretantion/status/1307305216933597185 …
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thanks, & I am steering clear for a reason! the chance of some kind of disputed election when there are so many weaknesses and the leadership of the GOP is steering it towards dispute, I recall
@vgr saying the chance of a peaceful transfer of power was like 5% & it seemed right1 reply 1 retweet 7 likes -
Replying to @DanielleFong @MechanicalMonk1 and
modal outcome is like, there is a huge bias towards democrats voting early and over mail, which means that there will likely be a significant early polling bias on the day. this gives ample time for media outlets like Fox and Sinclair to prematurely call it, which Trump may back
2 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
at minimum this radicalizes a kind of Qanonesque fringe which will dog a Biden presidency for years, alternatively you have the full legal apparatus of the state engage, but, uhh, recently, that has taken some hits. might come down to Gorsuch or somesuch
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