Their Rt values seem like they are averaged out over too much time. If their Rt values are *rising* and greater than 1, then a shorter-run estimate of Rt is probably much higher... *checking*
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i don't know what's going on with this but to do an estimate it seems like you need quite good models for the distribution of the disease's infectiousness throughout time (as well as detection, as well as the correction factor for the cases you miss) -- this is probably a diff
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