Re: HCQ... This is the critical issue, IMO. If -- IF -- it is shown, beyond doubt, to be substantially effective (say 10% mortality reduction), then ENTIRE narrative of coronavirus changes. Anti-Trump crowd becomes directly responsible for 10k+ deathshttps://twitter.com/interpretantion/status/1293948680677056514 …
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Replying to @spiderfoods @interpretantion
Imparting intent that he only boosted it for his own ego or whatever seems super weird to me. Seems like he just looked at facts / data coming from other countries, said "hey, this might be good", and then the entire anti-Trump world shifted to "HCQ is dangerous and evil"
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Replying to @spiderfoods @interpretantion
Now for where I think the anti-Trump crowd *really* fucked up: Nationwide lockdowns were, and are, a complete and utter disaster -- easily worse than coronavirus itself, in my estimation. Especially now that Sweden looks to be achieving herd at only 15 - 20% seroprevalence.
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Replying to @spiderfoods @interpretantion
really dispute that Sweden is achieving herd immunity, they have other public health interventions, not just herd immunity, test and trace and social distancing and no mass gatherings. no (minimal?) riots / protests, no school also seroprevalance is unclear as a measure
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Replying to @DanielleFong @interpretantion
Sure; and to be fair, I'm super iffy on this, it's a very tough epidemiology question, I know nothing. Mostly going off of what this guy said about it, whose models seem to have been 100% correct so farhttps://www.stanforddaily.com/2020/05/04/qa-nobel-laureate-says-covid-19-curve-could-be-naturally-self-flattening/?fbclid=IwAR1E-ZDlqcLtz0rd2WFBjLa3qPh-Cr0lISp3uxIYbNFjdazTb5c7HX4c_Gw …
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Replying to @spiderfoods @interpretantion
haven't been tracking Levitt very carefully but he's been off on a few things and said we'd be done and over this in august which just defies comprehension to me.
@Marco_Piani has been disputing this too1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Huh. That doesn't seem *too* absurd of a claim...pic.twitter.com/zDi77oqwer
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main thing I would argue is that this virus is still making progress! our efforts to mitigate mortality are working to some extent but it is not succeeding at stopping the virus really, and a future where it is widespread is just unboundedly bad (because of mutation)
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I mean... this becomes philosophical at some point. A hypothetical mutation is just that. Meanwhile, you have millions of tenants at risk of eviction, tens of thousands of landlords at risk of insolvency, the USD at risk of implosion... how to weigh equally catastrophic harms?
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D614G mutation is not hypothetical, and more will come...
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