Now for where I think the anti-Trump crowd *really* fucked up: Nationwide lockdowns were, and are, a complete and utter disaster -- easily worse than coronavirus itself, in my estimation. Especially now that Sweden looks to be achieving herd at only 15 - 20% seroprevalence.
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Replying to @spiderfoods @interpretantion
really dispute that Sweden is achieving herd immunity, they have other public health interventions, not just herd immunity, test and trace and social distancing and no mass gatherings. no (minimal?) riots / protests, no school also seroprevalance is unclear as a measure
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Replying to @DanielleFong @interpretantion
Sure; and to be fair, I'm super iffy on this, it's a very tough epidemiology question, I know nothing. Mostly going off of what this guy said about it, whose models seem to have been 100% correct so farhttps://www.stanforddaily.com/2020/05/04/qa-nobel-laureate-says-covid-19-curve-could-be-naturally-self-flattening/?fbclid=IwAR1E-ZDlqcLtz0rd2WFBjLa3qPh-Cr0lISp3uxIYbNFjdazTb5c7HX4c_Gw …
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Replying to @spiderfoods @interpretantion
haven't been tracking Levitt very carefully but he's been off on a few things and said we'd be done and over this in august which just defies comprehension to me.
@Marco_Piani has been disputing this too1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Huh. That doesn't seem *too* absurd of a claim...pic.twitter.com/zDi77oqwer
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main thing I would argue is that this virus is still making progress! our efforts to mitigate mortality are working to some extent but it is not succeeding at stopping the virus really, and a future where it is widespread is just unboundedly bad (because of mutation)
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I mean... this becomes philosophical at some point. A hypothetical mutation is just that. Meanwhile, you have millions of tenants at risk of eviction, tens of thousands of landlords at risk of insolvency, the USD at risk of implosion... how to weigh equally catastrophic harms?
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The decision on what to do then versus now pretty different. Fact is that they fucked up both getting the virus under control and the economy. They should have one $2k for everyone, with more for essential workers, they should have had a testing program, and PPE. Would solve both
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Replying to @DanielleFong @spiderfoods and
If I were president now I'd *still* do this, but I'd also, IDK invest a billion in a new agency for distance education (
@khanacademy and others), billions in mental health, art and music education, and WAY MORE in fast science around the virus e.g. fast grants.2 replies 1 retweet 1 like
The money propping up the stock market is messing everything up honestly. I'd let it collapse. You need to give small businesses and entrepreneurs access to loans, not public zombie companies. You have to encourage new firm formation, remote first
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