again, i see why you might think that but not why you have confidence. in fact onramping and off ramping seem like they could be more effectively managed than in a conventional subway in many instances
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Replying to @DanielleFong
My confidence is based on reading train people’s analysis on this. And also the fact that it will neither be speedy nor high capacity vehicles. https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/06/12/business/vegas-musk-boring-company/index.html …
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Replying to @maxrogo
have read similar... was unconvinced! they seem to be searching for reasons it won’t work — 1 ply into innovation and stop. you usually see with with incumbents
@FutureJurvetson posted a video of tunnel in LA. it was smooth as silk!2 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @DanielleFong @FutureJurvetson
Almost all of Musk’s tunnel ideas ignore how hard it is to get people In and out of vehicles and necessary spacing for safety. The LV tunnel at least isn’t crazy complicated like the LA master plan. So it can *work* I agree. But outpoint a higher capacity system, I doubt
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Replying to @maxrogo @FutureJurvetson
these just don’t seem like the scale of problems that people make it out to. you can do input output in so many ways *because* of individual vehicles. as for spacing you don’t need very wide spacing at low speeds, or at higher speeds under computer control in a tunnel
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Replying to @DanielleFong @FutureJurvetson
All of this is able to calculated with known formulas (I learned them in b school so I’m sure people with better recall can provide them). It’s inherently a low capacity system design. You can’t exceed x vehicles per hour. And you can’t exceed z capacity per vehicle
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Replying to @maxrogo @FutureJurvetson
imho should be way more skeptical of “known formulas” you can’t get further than your assumptions! say avg 5 people per vehicle, 1 minute to load (generous assumptions) 10 hours avg operating time is 3000 people. seem very possible to get loading to 20s-30s & like 3-5 parallel
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Replying to @DanielleFong @FutureJurvetson
But there’s one bore. And these known formulas define the throughput of every system on earth. Musk can’t repeal them. The train isn’t useful for 10 hours in the convention center. And isn’t at capacity for more than a few, when it will be overcapacity
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Replying to @maxrogo @FutureJurvetson
in all of these case the limit is the # of cars and loading / unloading, which isn’t at issue when you use your own tesla. o you can ue baeload hare vehicle and fsd teslas for surge capacity
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Replying to @DanielleFong @FutureJurvetson
Whoa. Las Vegas and LA are two unrelated problems. The vision of many LA tunnels with many exits and entrances has many very different problems. It can’t really be built.
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Replying to @DanielleFong @FutureJurvetson
See your DMs but astronomical cost and impossible to meet safety requirements
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I don't know about impossible very difficult yes. Load and unloading can be removed if you're not doing that in the system, I think Vegas will be where the stuff that will make or break the LA concept will be developed.
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