My R estimates are lower-bound in light of rising positivity.
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WHO/China joint report: Using available preliminary data, the median time from onset to clinical recovery for mild cases is approximately 2 weeks and is 3-6 weeks for patients with severe or critical disease.https://intensiveblog.com/report-of-the-who-china-joint-mission-on-coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19/ …
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I am making 2 simple assumptions: 1. Diagnosis occurs at roughly the same point in each cohort 2. Undersampling doesn't change significantly in X days (i have done the sensitivity check, it's fine)
End of conversation
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