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DanielleFong's profile
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@DanielleFong

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@DanielleFong

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Empire of the Future
Joined February 2008

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    1. Austen Allred‏ @Austen 1 Jul 2020

      Sometimes I feel like all of Twitter is looking at different data than I ampic.twitter.com/YOX25nfOPD

      164 replies 153 retweets 1,104 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Austen Allred‏ @Austen 1 Jul 2020

      Cases are going up, but they’ve been going up for more than a month as deaths have continued to decline. Consider: “cases” may be a bad metric to focus all of our time and attention on. That number influenced by so much more than how many people are getting the virus.pic.twitter.com/QrSiYE3Cw0

      28 replies 15 retweets 167 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Austen Allred‏ @Austen 1 Jul 2020

      Relatedly, we know a huge percentage of the deaths (50% in some states) were in nursing homes. Those deaths only really happen once. Regardless, in the long run deaths is clearly the true key indicator we should be looking at, but no one is paying attention to it.

      37 replies 7 retweets 174 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Austen Allred‏ @Austen 1 Jul 2020

      I’m very open to the idea that I’m wrong here. I just don’t understand how you could read the data as “this is clearly getting exponentially worse.” Maybe I’m looking at the wrong thing?

      88 replies 3 retweets 162 likes
      Show this thread
       🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 1 Jul 2020
      Replying to @Austen

      as far as i understand, 3 main effects 1) age, eg. the median age for a case dropped from 65 to 35 (in florida), the young are exponentially less likely to die from this 2) improved basic treatment, oxygen, pronation are the two main things i’ve seen mentioned 3) 3-4 week delay

      9:25 PM - 1 Jul 2020
      • 4 Likes
      • Gabriel Oak Amber SurfingTheUniverse Andres R
      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Gabriel Oak‏ @GabrielOak7 2 Jul 2020
          Replying to @DanielleFong @Austen

          Yes I think you are correct

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 2 Jul 2020
          Replying to @GabrielOak7 @Austen

           🤷🏻‍♀️ Retweeted Youyang Gu

          more supporthttps://twitter.com/youyanggu/status/1278739952193462274?s=20 …

           🤷🏻‍♀️ added,

          Youyang Gu @youyanggu
          Replying to @edwinmchoi
          We have been projecting a decrease in deaths until 4th of July weekend for the past several weeks. This is due to the decreasing IFR and lag between cases/deaths.
          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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