Locate event epic centers to focus testing in worst effected regions. This is one strategy. Do you think they should focus their resources on taking care of the patients and testing symptomatic? Austin, Texas had to prioritize symptomatic for testing.
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Replying to @Pravduh15
i’m not sure. The situation is so out of hand that I feel like prioritizing efforts to understand just how bad it is to mobilize a redoubled effort would be optimal. A high leverage activity could be identifying the types of super spreading events in india and stopping those
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Replying to @DanielleFong
One of my friends says that it doesn't matter what steps are taken, until therapies/ vaccines are discovered, when lockdowns are lifted, the virus always follows its natural path. He may be right. IDK.
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Replying to @Pravduh15
I definitely think that it’s quantitatively exponentially different depending on what we do. The more cases we have the more chances the virus has to mutate. It’s not all the same
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Replying to @DanielleFong
Sure, but depending on how bad the situation is and how strained resources are, might dictate the course of action.
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Replying to @Pravduh15 @DanielleFong
While mutations naturally happen and are cause for concern, I haven't read definitively that it is selecting towards more lethal strains. Bigger worry, with more infections, larger swaths of the society affected and no one is safe.
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Replying to @Pravduh15
it’s extremely problematic because the fact that most infections the majority of infections are driven by asymptomatic carriers or during the early stage of the virus means that more lethal strains are not nearly as so counter selected by evolution. this has been discussed!
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Replying to @DanielleFong
I read this too. I didn't read that more lethal variants were selected as that wouldn't have a bearing.
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Replying to @Pravduh15
I don’t believe that more lethal variants have been selected, or at least none have been identified. but this is absolutely the black swan scenario that we have to avoid. with linearly more infections it is linearly more likely (to fiest approximation)
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Replying to @DanielleFong
It's already pretty lethal and with probable chronic issues resulting from infection.
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yeah it is quite bad but could get a lot worse. 20-50% fatality rates in the family of this virus
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Replying to @DanielleFong @Pravduh15
Maharashtra & most of India has a resource & money problem. Not enough tests happening for the same reason, i guess. Mumbai & Delhi & Tamil Nadu are better off financially, so should manage well. Mumbai new cases are mostly flat (though still high) for the last 10 days.
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Replying to @urbanhermit7 @DanielleFong
I heard Dehli and Chennai are getting bad, but I saw the videos from Mumbai of the filled hospitals.
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