what I’m suggesting is to use the state apparatus to find out where the outbreaks are lock down those areas and make sure that PPE is distributed in rings around it. use intelligent contact tracing/sampling to figure out where
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Replying to @DanielleFong
Locate event epic centers to focus testing in worst effected regions. This is one strategy. Do you think they should focus their resources on taking care of the patients and testing symptomatic? Austin, Texas had to prioritize symptomatic for testing.
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Replying to @Pravduh15
i’m not sure. The situation is so out of hand that I feel like prioritizing efforts to understand just how bad it is to mobilize a redoubled effort would be optimal. A high leverage activity could be identifying the types of super spreading events in india and stopping those
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Replying to @DanielleFong
One of my friends says that it doesn't matter what steps are taken, until therapies/ vaccines are discovered, when lockdowns are lifted, the virus always follows its natural path. He may be right. IDK.
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Replying to @Pravduh15
I definitely think that it’s quantitatively exponentially different depending on what we do. The more cases we have the more chances the virus has to mutate. It’s not all the same
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Replying to @DanielleFong
Sure, but depending on how bad the situation is and how strained resources are, might dictate the course of action.
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Replying to @Pravduh15 @DanielleFong
While mutations naturally happen and are cause for concern, I haven't read definitively that it is selecting towards more lethal strains. Bigger worry, with more infections, larger swaths of the society affected and no one is safe.
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Replying to @Pravduh15
it’s extremely problematic because the fact that most infections the majority of infections are driven by asymptomatic carriers or during the early stage of the virus means that more lethal strains are not nearly as so counter selected by evolution. this has been discussed!
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Replying to @DanielleFong
I read this too. I didn't read that more lethal variants were selected as that wouldn't have a bearing.
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Replying to @Pravduh15
I don’t believe that more lethal variants have been selected, or at least none have been identified. but this is absolutely the black swan scenario that we have to avoid. with linearly more infections it is linearly more likely (to fiest approximation)
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