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DanielleFong's profile
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@DanielleFong

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Empire of the Future
Joined February 2008

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    1. Pravduh‏ @Pravduh15 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @DanielleFong

      It isn't feasible. 1 case could lead to over 1K tests. Anything over 3% is past the point of contact testing. Article: 1 bar hopper exposed 46K people. https://www.businessinsider.com/south-korea-contact-tracing-helped-control-nightclub-outbreak-2020-5 …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Pravduh15

      what I’m suggesting is to use the state apparatus to find out where the outbreaks are lock down those areas and make sure that PPE is distributed in rings around it. use intelligent contact tracing/sampling to figure out where

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Pravduh‏ @Pravduh15 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @DanielleFong

      Locate event epic centers to focus testing in worst effected regions. This is one strategy. Do you think they should focus their resources on taking care of the patients and testing symptomatic? Austin, Texas had to prioritize symptomatic for testing.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Pravduh15

      i’m not sure. The situation is so out of hand that I feel like prioritizing efforts to understand just how bad it is to mobilize a redoubled effort would be optimal. A high leverage activity could be identifying the types of super spreading events in india and stopping those

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. Pravduh‏ @Pravduh15 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @DanielleFong

      One of my friends says that it doesn't matter what steps are taken, until therapies/ vaccines are discovered, when lockdowns are lifted, the virus always follows its natural path. He may be right. IDK.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Pravduh15

      I definitely think that it’s quantitatively exponentially different depending on what we do. The more cases we have the more chances the virus has to mutate. It’s not all the same

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Pravduh‏ @Pravduh15 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @DanielleFong

      Sure, but depending on how bad the situation is and how strained resources are, might dictate the course of action.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Pravduh‏ @Pravduh15 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Pravduh15 @DanielleFong

      While mutations naturally happen and are cause for concern, I haven't read definitively that it is selecting towards more lethal strains. Bigger worry, with more infections, larger swaths of the society affected and no one is safe.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Pravduh15

      it’s extremely problematic because the fact that most infections the majority of infections are driven by asymptomatic carriers or during the early stage of the virus means that more lethal strains are not nearly as so counter selected by evolution. this has been discussed!

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Pravduh‏ @Pravduh15 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @DanielleFong

      I read this too. I didn't read that more lethal variants were selected as that wouldn't have a bearing.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
       🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 27 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Pravduh15

      I don’t believe that more lethal variants have been selected, or at least none have been identified. but this is absolutely the black swan scenario that we have to avoid. with linearly more infections it is linearly more likely (to fiest approximation)

      9:16 PM - 27 Jun 2020
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      • Pravduh JaylaCrypto 🤷🏻‍♀️
      3 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
        1.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 27 Jun 2020
          Replying to @DanielleFong @Pravduh15

          *first

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Pravduh‏ @Pravduh15 27 Jun 2020
          Replying to @DanielleFong

          It's already pretty lethal and with probable chronic issues resulting from infection.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 27 Jun 2020
          Replying to @Pravduh15

          yeah it is quite bad but could get a lot worse. 20-50% fatality rates in the family of this virus

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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        2. Pravduh‏ @Pravduh15 27 Jun 2020
          Replying to @z1y2x3 @DanielleFong

          Cool. If you don't know how this happened, it can be a surprise when all of the people who just tested positive and filled up the hospitals start dying...

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. End of conversation

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