Referenced this tweet in the latest @insight_podcast, to be released tomorrow. With some @nntaleb statistical theory (presumably Poisson-derived) it should be possible to create an equation based on (+) tests that gives an ~unbiased estimator of population infection rate...
https://twitter.com/DanielleFong/status/1275535178971086848 …
i think @youyanggu uses it as an input in http://covid19-projections.com probably
5:33 AM - 25 Jun 2020
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