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Replying to @jason_kint
Are you trying to show that opening up isn’t the cause for the spike? That’s what it appears like to me.
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Replying to @Vince_Farinella @jason_kint
it shows that it *is* the cause for the spike
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Drop started before shelter-in-place started, uptick began before it ended, though.
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A
$tsla in your profile was more predictable than that curve. Of course people started sheltering more ahead of official announcement and of course people fatigued before shelter was removed. It’s directional. And a moving avg.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
I think shelter in place orders were a good idea! And despite being a TSLA stockholder I thought Elon was saying dumb stuff about the virus and didn't want them to open up yet. That said, I'm also a pedant and I really don't see how you're getting causation from that graph.
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Florida's shelter in place began on April 4th, more than 2 weeks after most of the rest of the country. That's why you see it decline a fair amount before the official shelter in place. The growth rate stayed low during the official shelter in place but tapered off due to fatigue
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Rogs 🔍 Retweeted Rogs 🔍
Maybe I'm miscommunicating. I agree that people's actual behavior matters. What seems (unfortunately) less clear is that official orders are driving behavior.https://twitter.com/ESRogs/status/1275918580945547264 …
Rogs 🔍 added,
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official orders are pretty related to the actual behavior of the Floridians in my opinion. The large part is made of rebelliousness, and a large part is literal fraud with the information, and lack of leadership
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