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DanielleFong's profile
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@DanielleFong

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@DanielleFong

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Empire of the Future
Joined February 2008

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    1. Mihoda‏ @Mihoda 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @DanielleFong

      It's ordered by current, 7 day MA of new cases per capita. If you want to compare where states are right meow, you need to compare per cap and in the same time slice. Rank ordering by peak might show something that you really do need independent evidence of: a spatial/soc trend

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    2. Mihoda‏ @Mihoda 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Mihoda @DanielleFong

      A set of data always *has* a rank ordering by peak, and plotting it can make it look meaningful, but it's not evidence of the spatial trend that it implies. Very dangerous to test that hypothesis. It's better to start out with the geo/social model and plot that ordering to check

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Mihoda

      I agree it’s responsible for some sort of illusion

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Mihoda‏ @Mihoda 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @DanielleFong

      Just for you... I changed two lines of code. Peak... rank ordered by date of peak and size of peak.pic.twitter.com/rCX61jltu1

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Mihoda‏ @Mihoda 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Mihoda @DanielleFong

      Give me 10 stock tickers and a pre-crash date and I'll whip up a plot over my lunch hour showing you the optical illusion of ordering by peak.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Mihoda

      should be some kind of ordering that's quasigeographical or includes network distance somehow.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Mihoda‏ @Mihoda 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @DanielleFong

      One might say... a social distance metric.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Mihoda

      touche 😁🌺

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Mihoda‏ @Mihoda 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @DanielleFong

      But I think we already fell into the pit. We're both talking about interstate transmission *because of* the plot. The predominant factor is almost certainly behavior driving regional R values. And currently, there is a t(R)end in the recent peakers if you get my drift.pic.twitter.com/FBJiHFAmNL

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Mihoda‏ @Mihoda 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Mihoda @DanielleFong

      Regional R is intrastate transmission... and guess what kinds of behaviors are politicized now? https://www.forbes.com/sites/tommybeer/2020/06/18/nebraska-governor-says-local-governments-wont-receive-coronavirus-funding-if-they-require-masks/#4c519efa1c79 …

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
       🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 19 Jun 2020
      Replying to @Mihoda

      yeah you're exactly right

      7:36 AM - 19 Jun 2020
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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