Seriously you have to be seriously educated (PhD level) and brain damaged to be chief economist at Morgan Stanley and not have a coronavirus second wave effect on the economy in your forecast!
Idea is: No Shutdown, only a lockdown in certain areas, so the economy will grow. 
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A small percentage of live players.
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Truth is lockdowns are only effective and net positive if done aggressively and strictly followed. Unfortunately, idont think the US can or will do this. They should at least make masks mandatory!
End of conversation
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