Um. Daily new covid cases in Florida.pic.twitter.com/0QqHaF5MOb
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There is a huge amount of structure in the data. So to change my mind of this I'd run a deep analysis including by county and what the age is of those infected. http://metrics.covid19-analysis.org pic.twitter.com/0mx926UxXC
No, that's not what you do. If DoD cases growth and DoD death growth diverge (ie: former up while latter down), before moving on to a "deep analysis" you have to explain why you were wrong in that instance.
Why would I prioritise analysis from data from a state that's being clearly fucked with without doing the structural analysis.
Everywhere else death and cases track (with time delay)
CFR is hugely affected by AGE and TIME OF INFECTION.
Must account for this.
cc @DrEricDing
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