the Germany thing is absolutely wild i agree. but costs & technology have continued to improve; the environmental benefits of not using fossil fuels are substantial nuclear is awesome ofc & natural gas is better than coal but there is a risk of getting trapped in a local optimum
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Replying to @antirobust @greatgarett
i agree with you that there's plenty of religious thinking around clean energy though
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Replying to @greatgarett
the technology and economics march onwards... we will see
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Replying to @antirobust @greatgarett
btw i would absolutely love to read a book or blog post series or whatever that goes deep & synthesizes these Big critiques of renewables, if you know of any most of the skepticism i see is about policy & cost stuff, less the really foundational thermodynamics, efficiency etc
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Replying to @antirobust @greatgarett
imho, costs have come down almost 20x since germany yolo'd it. this is totally happening because the tesla giga factory batteries are good enough for storage and wind and solar and incredibly cheap now. main problem is the US trade war with China, the cheapest panels are theirs
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Replying to @DanielleFong @greatgarett
agree. one shouldn't generalize too much from Germany, since they made certain policy choices around nuclear & coal, & cleantech tech & industry economics have kept improving the tariffs on Chinese panels are extremely stupid still a long way to go on battery cost & tech imo
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This was my field. I can tell you the progress is excellent. The recent benchmark batteries from the Dahn group that Tesla collaborates with demonstrate that long lived lithium batteries with inexpensive components are achievable.
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