New reported infections in the US were essentially stable from 3/31 - 5/3, despite increased testing. This is a very weird phenomenon. Is the rate of new infections actually stable? Are underreporting and spread so finely tuned that new infections would appear to be stable? 1/7
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Replying to @geoffanders
I would suggest decomposing the curve further. If you do that it’s pretty clear a few places with major outbreaks are getting better, but most of the rest of the country is getting worse. The curve is not actually flat:https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/06/opinion/coronavirus-deaths-statistics.html …
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Replying to @WilliamAEden
New reported infections globally appear to be pretty flat for the last month and a half. That will certainly decompose into some areas getting better and some worse. But this continues, to my mind, to be a weird fact in need of an explanation. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/worldwide-graphs/ …pic.twitter.com/2yxK8Lwr3I
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Replying to @geoffanders
A common response to this question is that this is an artifact of testing more than the disease or social response. Scaling up these processes is not trivial. But if you look at the % positive rate, it’s falling as new case growth stays flat. So more testing, fewer infected.
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Replying to @WilliamAEden @geoffanders
Testing is a disaster right now. we need to overturn the
@cdc blocking the@gatesfoundation work on megatesting. in particular we do not want a slow program that requires a medical profession to jab a long swab to the back of your throat, exposing themselves, this stinks.1 reply 1 retweet 0 likes -
Replying to @DanielleFong @WilliamAEden and
@DanielleFong What's a good source to catch up on the state of testing in the US, esp work on megatesting?2 replies 1 retweet 1 like -
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