I'm a climate scientist and I think this is way too early to call, since we're not even out of the first wave.
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Replying to @DanielleFong
Steve Bloom Retweeted James Edward Hansen
Why do you say you're a climate scientist? Anyway, a little discussion here from some leading ones: https://twitter.com/DrJamesEHansen/status/1260940650335305728?s=19 ….
Steve Bloom added,
James Edward Hansen @DrJamesEHansenDon’t bet on record 2020 global temperature. Depends a lot on developing Pacific temperatures, and on the unknown aerosol changes due to#COVID19. - https://mailchi.mp/caa/2020-record-warm-year-dont-bet-on-it …#ClimateChange#GlobalWarming#GlobalTemperature#CO2#aerosols pic.twitter.com/z4T3antvgn1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @stevebloom55
I have deep background in aerosol physics, weather prediction, geoengineering, statistical mechanics, atmospheric dynamics, systems dynamics, and the physics of systems far from equilibrium. I earned a university medal, graduating in physics and computer science at 17. MIT-TR35
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Replying to @DanielleFong @stevebloom55
All he's saying is don't bet on it. He's saying that *in general*, not to me. I have some other data, and influence here. This is not a fated process
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Replying to @DanielleFong
Please read the whole thread. Likely
@ClimateOfGavin and@richardabetts will be willing to answer any questions. If you have some other data they might not know about, I'm sure they'd be happy to consider it.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
It's not just *data* that's backward looking. The *system* is destabilised. The economy is destabilised. The ecosystems are destabilised. We haven't seen 10% of it. Looking at emissions is *totally* insufficient here. Furthermore, I intend to do salt based solar dimming this yr
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Replying to @DanielleFong @stevebloom55 and
𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪 Retweeted 𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪
𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪 added,
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These things require quantification. Greenhouse impact of NOx emissions is pretty minor. I haven't heard anything about a globally significant bump in SO2 emissions, but even if there is one please note the science on volcanic SO2: If it doesn't reach the stratosphere it 1/
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surprised you have not heard of the SO2. do me a favour and look around Wuhan on http://earth.nullschool.net Jan 2019 and then Jan - March 2020
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I will when I get back later. But without quantification and a suitable model how can it tell me much?
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definitely planning on releasing an actual model when I get the time and compute power and system ready, but it's taken a backburner to the pandemic. placing the ideas in the meme-o-sphere ahead of schedule. sue/use me!
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