“I’m quite certain that this is going to go in waves. It won’t be a tsunami that comes across America all at once and then retreats all at once. It will be micro-waves that shoot up in Des Moines and then in New Orleans and then in Houston and so on”
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“Its going to affect how people think about all kinds of things. They’ll re-evaluate the importance of travel. They’ll reassess their use of mass transit. They’ll revisit the need for face-to-face business meetings. They’ll reappraise having their kids go to college out of state”
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“This is history right in front of us. Did we go ‘back to normal’ after 9/11? No. We created a whole new normal. We securitized the United States. We turned into an antiterror state. And it affected everything.“
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“We couldn’t go into a building without showing ID and walking through a metal detector, and couldn’t get on airplanes the same way ever again. That’s what’s going to happen with this.”
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“I think we could have massive political disruption. Just as we come out of our holes and see what 25 percent unemployment looks like. We may also see what collective rage looks like.”
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Daniel Sinclair Retweeted Sara Cook
The CDC and White House is now denying any involvement in that projection floating around.https://twitter.com/saraecook/status/1257359456658247686 …
Daniel Sinclair added,
Sara CookVerified account @saraecookWH response to NYT report of an internal CDC document that projects 3,000 daily#coronavirus deaths by June 1 and 200,000 daily new cases by the end of the month https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/04/us/coronavirus-updates.html … pic.twitter.com/3QgimN4vq0Show this thread1 reply 0 retweets 1 likeShow this thread -
We’re seeing talks of 80,000 or 100,000 deaths in this country, but that does not align with the reality that we have hit a floor and plateaued at around 1,750 deaths per day. That may very well climb. At this pace, assuming no second wave, we will cross a million within 2 years.
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Preprint science is exhausting. Like the study out of China that concluded that the Wuhan ‘strain’ was worse than the virus that circulated in other parts of China, rather than a different reaction, I think the science will find this to be an illusion too.https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-05-05/mutant-coronavirus-has-emerged-more-contagious-than-original …
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Daniel Sinclair Retweeted Bill Hanage
Here is a breakdown of how that study may be misguided:https://twitter.com/BillHanage/status/1256422856436613126 …
Daniel Sinclair added,
Bill HanageVerified account @BillHanageThis preprint has been getting attention. It claims that the SARS-CoV-2 virus is mutating into a more transmissible form as the pandemic wears on. I think those claims are suspect, to say the least https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.29.069054v1 … 1/nShow this thread2 replies 0 retweets 1 likeShow this thread
Why wouldn't higher transmission rates be more evolutionarily favoured? It's an arms race between the virus and our immune system and social behaviours...
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Replying to @DanielleFong
It likely would. But the question is evolutionary time. Some premlimary studies pointed to a period of 50 years or so between SAR-CoV-2 and some other closely related bat coronaviruses. Many think it is very far fetched to see novel mutations in a matter of weeks.
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Replying to @_DanielSinclair
I don't think that makes sense. With this many infections you have so many chances.
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