𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪 Retweeted Pierre Rochard
of course @nntaleb was right! he’s basically always right!
he’s written like, what, a dozen books on almost exactly this situation!
even little old me wrote about this!
https://daniellefong.com/2008/01/28/outliers-why-the-central-limit-theorem-is-typically-off/ …https://twitter.com/pierre_rochard/status/1248266016720932864 …
𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪 added,
Pierre Rochard @pierre_rochard
Airlines should have stopped flying from Europe weeks before the first confirmed NYC case.
> In risk *innocent until proven guilty* means "only put your seatbelt AFTER the accident".
Precautionary principle.
@nntaleb was right. https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1248071228520304641 …
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