the best research on this is still out of @neil_ferguson’s lab, he has the time lags nailed, and very good confidence intervals.
unfortunately, the time lag is why you are wrong in this case.
I wish it were not so.
R0 is almost certainly above 4, CFR was 0.5-9.5% IRRC!(95%CI)https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1246966266851516416 …
-
-
I will note what
@BillAckman says is *possible* --@michaelmina_lab mentions the possibility of 50X here https://twitter.com/michaelmina_lab/status/1246344719006826496 … -- the problem is these are just possibilities and people will use such statements to justify not acting -- someone literally showed us the Ackman -
tweet as justification why he didn't want to donate money for PPE -- of course people like that probably would find some other excuse, but people should understand the impact of their speculations
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.