UK NUDGE UNIT 1) Just as before the crisis of 2008-9 I was shouting that economic "experts" were no experts, we will sorely discover that behavioral "experts" are even more unreliable. 2) Even psychs admit behavioral papers replicate <½, that is the reliability of astrology.
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Replying to @nntaleb
astrology is a decent theory with a bunch of bad experts, few experiments, and a 1month and 11 day miscalibration (per Feynman) roughly, but even if this is true, horoscopes can be used to inspire the population — just as cyphers were used to establish orders across China
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