Reminder: FDA only allowed non-CDC labs to start testing for COVID-19 LAST FRIDAY. You are going to hear about a terrifying explosion of new cases this week. It's important to keep in mind that these are mostly not "new" cases, only newly detected.
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We're in the process of seeing estimates go up 100x in a few days, eg the Washington cluster. Actual growth isn't near that fast. The next couple of weeks are going to be catchup in that respect.
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I think it’s going to look like a doubling time of ~3-4 days but actually it’s ~5-6 days
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