Have you ever known something to be true before it was printed in a reputable publication? Maybe you're a researcher, or a founder, or just a citizen who put up a post that became a news story. If so, you're a pre-headline person. You knew it to be true *before* the headline.
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Replying to @balajis
How do you separate this (which happens) from the statistical reality that no matter what happens someone always said it would OR if someone makes enough predictions they could have a run like at a casino or in the markets?
3 replies 0 retweets 13 likes -
Replying to @stevesi
Interesting. I was thinking more about the deterministic situation. For example, you knew something about an amazing product launch before anyone else, and then the headline came out and the world knew. Not so much *predicting* the headline but more knowing something first.
2 replies 1 retweet 14 likes -
Replying to @balajis
Well sure if you have private information of a non disclosed event then of course. But that is access not a skill (unless espionage is the skill). Inside. If you are not inside then you’re outside, pal.
1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
We have the information, it’s just not well distributed among people with the freedom to act, because too many people who would have to see it are in positions that are tied to the context of an (increasingly absurdly) outdated frame
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