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DanielleFong's profile
𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪
𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪
𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪
@DanielleFong

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𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪

@DanielleFong

𝔞 𝔟𝔩𝔞𝕤𝔱 𝔣𝔯𝔬𝔪 𝔱𝕙𝖊 𝔭𝔞𝔰𝔱 𝕝𝕖𝕧𝕖𝕝 𝟛𝟚 𝕤𝕠𝕣𝕔𝕖𝕣𝕖𝕤𝕤, 𝕙𝕒𝕣𝕕𝕔𝕠𝕣𝕖 𝕞𝕠𝕕𝕖

.earth  🌎
daniellefong.com
Joined February 2008

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    1. Wolf of M Street‏ @WolfofMStreet Feb 29
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      Replying to @Hugo_Lz @DanielleFong and

      Please, I’ve heard these tired arguments for a month straight and debunked them all. Been running every type of lag analysis since January. Way ahead of this. Citation please, otherwise I assume it’s the usual BS

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Wolf of M Street‏ @WolfofMStreet Feb 29
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      Replying to @WolfofMStreet @Hugo_Lz and

      Too tired to keep posting the graphs I made daily back in early/mid Feb with every lag shown, but they’re in my feed. Doubters then told me I’m doing it wrong and it’s 10%, not my projected 2%. Now world has caught up with me on that so I stopped making graphs.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. 𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪‏ @DanielleFong Feb 29
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      Replying to @WolfofMStreet @Hugo_Lz and

      I think it’s pointless to project what the fatality rate is. It’s a new life form that’s got out that can maintain integrity and swap RNA across many creatures. It profoundly changes the world. It could evolve a rehash of almost any disease, and maintain “stealth”

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Wolf of M Street‏ @WolfofMStreet Feb 29
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      Replying to @DanielleFong @Hugo_Lz and

      You think fatality rate is pointless, ok. I mean, people aren’t gonna quarantine themselves if fatality is comparable to flu. People are really doing a lot of mental gymnastics to justify a very fearful stance and I feel like there’s a bigger story buried under that clear bias

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Hugo Lpz 羅禹國‏ @Hugo_Lz Mar 1
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      Replying to @WolfofMStreet @DanielleFong and

      She is just having fun and writing SF some timespic.twitter.com/buQkAnLXN5

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Wolf of M Street‏ @WolfofMStreet Mar 1
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      Replying to @Hugo_Lz @DanielleFong and

      Any idea how one projects the estimated 14-17% of infections requiring ICU?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Hugo Lpz 羅禹國‏ @Hugo_Lz Mar 1
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      Replying to @WolfofMStreet @DanielleFong and

      ICU: 16% per my last academic reading. 20% per recent news reading. China has stable / advanced epidemic. Dead rate as today dead divided by today cases : 3.60%. Will still go up.pic.twitter.com/PGmCg7PJ0b

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Hugo Lpz 羅禹國‏ @Hugo_Lz Mar 1
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      Replying to @Hugo_Lz @WolfofMStreet and

      Also, i initially assumed you were a classic uninformed "it s just flu" user. If you dived into data and academic sources we can go ahead with more detail. Event mortality will be ~4% on detected cases. Virus mortality depends on undetected cases, and can be much lower.

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Hugo Lpz 羅禹國‏ @Hugo_Lz Mar 1
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      Replying to @Hugo_Lz @WolfofMStreet and

      For forecast purpose: i start with high-worse case scenario. Then divide down for more plausible. It s still worrying. Virus mortality of 0.5% and spread of 15% like flu is still worrying 6M dead worldwide. So ideal scenario is seasonal flu ×20? DiamondPrincess: >20% spread.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Wolf of M Street‏ @WolfofMStreet Mar 1
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      Replying to @Hugo_Lz @DanielleFong and

      What I don’t get there is, if you’re using flu spread rate and 5x the flu mortality, how are you getting 20x flu deaths

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪‏ @DanielleFong Mar 1
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      Replying to @WolfofMStreet @Hugo_Lz and

      between 80x & 700x lethality Report 4: Severity of 2019-novel coronavirus (nCoV) Imperial College London https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-2019-nCoV-severity-10-02-2020.pdf … 2 - Global mortality associated with seasonal influenza epidemics: New burden estimates and predictors from the GLaMOR Projecthttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6815659/ …

      12:31 AM - 1 Mar 2020
      • 2 Retweets
      • 2 Likes
      • Flavia Ceccarelli Hugo Lpz 羅禹國 SolutionSolutions
      2 replies 2 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. SolutionSolutions‏ @Michael37823933 Mar 2
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          Replying to @DanielleFong @WolfofMStreet and

          700 X ?

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. 𝓓𝑎𝑛𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑒 𝓕𝑜𝑛𝑔, 𝕖𝕩-𝕡𝕣𝕠𝕕𝕚𝕘𝕪‏ @DanielleFong Mar 2
          • Report Tweet
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          Replying to @Michael37823933 @WolfofMStreet and

          Report 4: Severity of 2019-novel coronavirus (nCoV). Imperial College London https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-2019-nCoV-severity-10-02-2020.pdf … 2 - Global mortality associated with seasonal influenza epidemics: New burden estimates and predictors from the GLaMOR Project.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6815659/ …

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. 2 more replies
        1. Hugo Lpz 羅禹國‏ @Hugo_Lz Mar 1
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          Replying to @DanielleFong @WolfofMStreet and

          😜

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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