People are saying that this is a “nightmare scenario” that was “unpredictable.”
Actually it was not!
Some
predicted a pandemic, weeks ago
It’s the nature of asymptomatic spread; it evades our containment.
It was simply unspeakable, publicly
Or simply hard to believe 
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Assuming top 10% of the actual epidemic in both dates: 01.23 (830 cases) and 02.23 (~78,000 cases)... We still have a x100, in 28~30 days. Assuming 7 days between infection and contamination of next generation. I see: 830 x3.1 x3.1 x3.1 x3.1=76652 BRR=~3.1pic.twitter.com/sfeRohFw0L
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We see x100 over 4 weeks. x1000 is only if either gov lies (not its long term interest) or if measurement method have failed to follow exponential growth of cases.
Possible. 
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