These are the predictions by the best previous modeler for the Good Judgment project, who most closely nailed the last predictions. Military and analytical background.
https://twitter.com/darshandorsey/status/1231636991512543232 …
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Replying to @DanielleFong
His estimate for infection numbers is way less than a typical flu season, so for his model to work the country basically has to shut down. Which, y'know, may well happen.
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Replying to @jonst0kes
I agree. It should happen. We should try and make it happen. My model is honestly way more severe, but it is mainly because since Friday the evidence on the stupidity of our leadership and population is staggering...
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @DanielleFong @jonst0kes
Your plan is spot on but humans have no history of being wise if it cost money on short term.
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
I know. I am sad about this. Many will die in the first wave because of stupidity but I don’t think we have a hope of responding otherwise. People need to actually be shocked into realizing that they need to do something.
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