These are the predictions by the best previous modeler for the Good Judgment project, who most closely nailed the last predictions. Military and analytical background.
https://twitter.com/darshandorsey/status/1231636991512543232 …
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Your plan is spot on but humans have no history of being wise if it cost money on short term.
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I know. I am sad about this. Many will die in the first wave because of stupidity but I don’t think we have a hope of responding otherwise. People need to actually be shocked into realizing that they need to do something.
End of conversation
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