It s far from nightmare. Avian flu is 60% lethal. This one is .4 to 4%. In term of virality tho, it is quite heavy weigh : 45 sickness and good BRR allows loooot of penetration. (DiamondPrincess: 20%). PS: 01.23 = 830 cases. 02.23 = 80,000,000 cases. With 7days period, BRR=4?
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Outch !!! 80,000 sorry for the typo !!!


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Was so obvious based on growth rate of first ~10000 cases. I sounded alarm bells in the third week of January at which point people were still saying “but SARS had infected and killed more people!”pic.twitter.com/Lv0c8yBWtN
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Big Pharma was most probably fighting your information in the hope that they’d cash in on this unfortunate occurrence.
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I started stocking up on 20 January. I don't have many talents but taking a limited amount of information, filtering it and connecting dots and coming to the correct conclusion is one of them. Chinese government response spoke clearly on the severity of this.
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Since end of Jan I was increasingly frustrated with the Chinese and WHO response, BUT the
Research community has been fast and open — & citizen journalists leak truth out
Scientists in many fields around the world could learn about and be inspired by this — to action!
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This wasn’t difficult to predict either, it was obvious where this was going. Many experts got it wrong initially. Classic case for a black swan situation.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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predicted a pandemic, weeks ago
It’s the nature of asymptomatic spread; it evades our containment.
It was simply unspeakable, publicly
Or simply hard to believe 