~4% in detected cases.
.5% in all cases, when including forcasted ones.
Not the lazy 1~2% "
/identified cases to date" spreads around by superficial newsrooms
. And i am rolling my eyes upon the journalists inability to do basic ratio, analysis of phenomenons & explanations.
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Not quite! It's an actual 0.5% - 4% actual estimated 95% confidence interval. read the paper. It's super sophisticated, they do all the modelling you actually want to do to incorporate time lag, and model out an actual distribution and make a 95% CI, it's great stuff.
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