It's not abt "absolute terms," it's abt reality. There are areas just getting used to indoor plumbing, so likelihood of being able to sustain many in need of critical care in ICU seems pretty slim. Even in US, millions w/o healthcare, millions homeless, millions w/o Drs in area.
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This is a good reference, I think the most highly regarded https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-2019-nCoV-severity-10-02-2020.pdf …
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Yes, pretty good, as a bunch of point-in-time guesses. Suggests CFR of 0.9% (95%CI 0.5%-4.0%). If as some suggest 20x more mild cases never reported, IFR is ~1/20th that: 0.045% (95%CI 0.025%-0.2%)
End of conversation
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Not as interested in "guesses" – though if that's an informed guess, what's the link to the data/reasoning? Very interested in reliable tallies from outside-China primary sources – health agencies & doctors, not anonymous Twitter accounts.
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