In that case, containment already impossible (& draconian measures that will fail anyway then awful on net costs/benefits) - but also subsequent impact much less fearsome - on scale of ‘bad flu season’ or even ‘worst flu season ever’ - but still not society-reordering.
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"much less fearsome ... ‘worst flu season ever’ - but still not society-reordering." Seriously?
"In just 18 months at least a third of world’s population was infected. Estimates on exact number of fatalities vary wildly, from 20M to 50M to 100M deaths."https://www.nationalgeographic.com/history/magazine/2018/03-04/history-spanish-flu-pandemic/ …1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Seriously! Of course, deaths from 'Spanish' flu massive & tragic – & even now, 100y later, its exact origin & manner of killing not fully understood. But very soon, society returned to normal, with some historians labeling it a "forgotten pandemic":https://en.wivipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu#Legacy …
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So 50M+ dead is just a societal speed-bump? The social/economic upheaval is immeasurable. It may even have directly contributed to there having been WWII. It was also "4th worst global macroeconomic event since 1870." In US second only to Great Depression. https://www.hoover.org/research/getting-serious-about-flu …pic.twitter.com/fsrkIppoMR
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Yes, 1919 flu was awful! Probably 10x worse than anything possible today, w/ our far better understanding of germs, sanitation, medicine – & greater wealth/health. Still, society got back to normal a year or 2 later & then gave less thought to 1919 flu than WW1/etc.
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You're looking at this through a Western lens, much of the world doesn't have "greater wealth/health." Of course ppl got up and kept going, it's what we do. World didn't stop after plagues, World Wars, or nuclear bombs, either, but that doesn't mean they should be shrugged off.
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"much of the world doesn't have 'greater wealth/health'"?!? Which places on Earth in 2020 are poorer/less-healthy, in absolute terms, than they were in 1919?
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It's not abt "absolute terms," it's abt reality. There are areas just getting used to indoor plumbing, so likelihood of being able to sustain many in need of critical care in ICU seems pretty slim. Even in US, millions w/o healthcare, millions homeless, millions w/o Drs in area.
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Still: we're way smarter, richer, & healthier than in 1919. Some think most 1919 deaths were due to a bacterial co-infection – they hadn't even discovered penicillin yet!
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You are like an agent from the future who has just come back from the past, man.
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Think you could benefit from another pass on the current situation, IMHO
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