Scary math. Let’s say COVID19 infects just 20% USA citizens as H1N1 did. If we take estimate for critical care of 2-10% (some are 20%), we need 240,000-1.2 million beds. Our 100,000 ICU beds are full now. Most of 500,000 acute-care beds full already.
is this something you might liek to take a first cut at modeling a toy model of how it can help?
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it = multiscale isolation? I would edit someone else's toy model or contrib ~5hrs/week. Tried making an interactive essay mid-January alone but got discouraged. Main research is tools to teach programming, longer term intervention towards simulation thinking for all this, etc.
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maybe try to scope waaaay down and maybe just make a 1 image meme shareable via social media / embeddable in news media. the simplest model where neighboring hospitals share resources as the “pig goes through the python” for a case where very many beds / respirators req’d
End of conversation
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