@jonst0kes prelim analysis from @AdamJKucharski et al notes contact tracing is key:
"percentage of contacts traced is critical to achieving control in all scenarios"
SG notes 0.2% ex-Hubei mortality rate, have you seen any more data or research on that?
https://cmmid.github.io/ncov/isolation_contact_tracing/ …
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see this for an exploration of one of the best traced case histories. using the lethality data for “cases outside of China” is horribly downward biased. https://youtu.be/IaIjwvjBwqg people die at the end of the disease. if they are otherwise healthy, that could be a month!
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