We finally have numbers on this, and it’s terrible news. The finding below implies R0 >~2, even if we totally isolate people once they show worrying symptoms.
(ht @NellWatson!
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Study: Half of secondary virus infections occur in incubation period.https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2020/02/255501851d48-half-of-secondary-virus-infections-occur-in-incubation-period-study.html …
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this evidence strongly argues for a *high index of suspicion.* Even if you do not have symptoms this strongly argues for travel limitations, self sequestration, quarantine Asia & the world would benefit enormously, now, from a 2-3 week mega-vacation for all but critical workers
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what’s wrong with a giant vacation and then some kind of gift giving holiday afterwards? Christmas and Thanksgiving as gift givign holidays was a intentionally 100% fabricated thing. There is no good reason to not do the sensible thing and chill this February. 
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