the fact that they haven't moved to paper ballots by now is insane. Profs. Alex Halderman and Ed Felten have been clear as day about this since 2005; you cannot secure digital voting systems effectively, and you do not need to -- use paper Ignorance is no answer for this any more
the biggest hard problem of forecasting these days is modeling the sampling error & distortion of the voting population, gerrymandering, and sampling bias. but why model that anyway? it's a dumb signal. you're not just overfitting noise. you're overfitting the corruption!
American (not me! i'm
) should make "the internet's candidate" poll using FB oauth *or something* to verify they're