What are the possible explanations for why we’ve not found an nCoV19 outbreak outside of China yet? By their nature travel restrictions and quarantines are reactive. Lots of travel from the region would have occurred before these measures. 1/2
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Replying to @snoble
Limited testing of people with symptoms but no history of travel
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Replying to @kaidalgleish
I would bet if there had been a pneumonia spike somewhere recently there would have been testing
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Replying to @snoble @kaidalgleish
Null hypothesis is it’s in stealth, as we speak...
7:46 PM - 3 Feb 2020
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