Going viral What if this coronavirus is the pandemic that public health people have been warning about for years? It would accelerate many pre-existing trends. - border closures - nationalism - social isolation - preppers - remote work - face masks - distrust in governments
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The primary sources I have been following on the coronavirus are: 1) Lancet: http://thelancet.com/coronavirus 2) NEJM: http://nejm.org/coronavirus 3) JHU: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 … My credentials, if relevant: PhD with papers in microbial and clinical genomics.pic.twitter.com/TKBF3ixrEz
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The JHU dashboard is concerning. 1) Exponential growth of cases inside and outside China 2) Non-China graph seems much lower, but is "only" about 2-3 weeks behind at same rate 3) Data updates ~every night, so apparent slowdown in cases may not be real https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 …pic.twitter.com/CCtP2mdtbc
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Countries are closing their borders and stopping flights, including Russia, Mongolia, Germany. There are calls in HK, Philippines, and now the US to follow suit. This may be the event that swings 10-20% of the middle reluctantly towards border controls.pic.twitter.com/qxu8tTHhRc
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For a virus like this, the time to "overreact" is now, before it becomes pandemic. However, some folks in the US media are acting just like the Chinese state media they claim to deplore -- and minimizing the issue. Don't panic, do take decisive action. http://chinamediaproject.org/2020/01/27/dramatic-actions/ …pic.twitter.com/CjBqST2jfb
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Longer term trend: decentralized medicine Crowding many contagious people into a single hospital may not be the right approach. Healthcare workers themselves are getting sick. Instead, portable diagnostics and mobile ICUs may be better to invest in.pic.twitter.com/IfuxyeKMwJ
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Balaji S. Srinivasan Retweeted Jameson Lopp
Long term trend: face masks When SV & China both agree on something, it often happens. Face masks are on the rise due to infection & pollution. Privacy is a third driver. Every American man used to wear a hat. Perhaps everyone wears a face mask soon.https://twitter.com/lopp/status/1222178953378631681 …
Balaji S. Srinivasan added,
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Long term trend: remote work Today, only a subset of jobs are feasible with remote work. But if there's a highly contagious and possibly deadly disease out there, that changes everything. With robotics & telepresence, a much larger percentage of jobs could become teleoperated.
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Going to follow @stephen_wolfram’s example and stream a day in the life of a CEO (of a vastly smaller org)
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