>200 dead despite intensive care; at least an order of magnitude more deadly than the flu, highly mobile w/ no vaccine, just declared a global health emergency by the WHO, and WIRED's contribution is ...*drumroll*... border health checks are authoritarianhttps://www.wired.com/story/opinion-we-should-deescalate-the-war-on-the-coronavirus …
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Replying to @KyleBogosian @webdevMason
To be fair. He's talking about false popular perceptions of nCOV as an existential threat, not saying that the virus isn't a big deal.
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Replying to @KyleBogosian @webdevMason
I personally doubt that much popular panic comes from an actual belief that it's an existential threat. Pandemics have historically caused major social trauma even without being regarded as existential threats.
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Replying to @KyleBogosian
I meeeean, I agree that it's not a good idea for anyone to panic. Panic wouldn't be a good plan if it *were* an existential threat. But (a) the Big One won't look like the Big One until it... looks like the Big One, and (b) the very solid global response is clearly a good thing
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Replying to @webdevMason @KyleBogosian
Right now, we only have a very tentative model for lethality, and the confirmed infection population is still at a manageable, treatable size and largely geographically contained. There are very good reasons to try to keep it that way
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Replying to @webdevMason
Yes he's definitely wrong about deescalating, I just meant that the particular comment about the 1918 influenza was in a different context, so it's not stupid like it looks.
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Replying to @KyleBogosian @webdevMason
I don’t think he necessarily is wrong about that. The measures mentioned against corona virus aren’t effective, and can be pretty invasive. If it is ‘the big one’ - none of these measures will do anything.
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If the fatalities are delayed and a broad amount of the incubation period is contagious - it’s already almost everywhere and that will become clear in a week or two. He says weird things but it seems like the larger point is about fooling ourselves into thinking its manageable
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20% effectiveness of finding someone with symptoms (when it’s contagious before then) is useless. You’re trying to contain something that has already escaped (well and truly). Those measures have a cost, and debating whether or not it’s worth paying should be uncontroversial.
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The WHO has had the lobby for the economic cost and the second order effects of closing borders *heavily represented* in the discussion — there was recently a great discussion of this in the latest BBC world service podcast. “We now need to transition to a no-regrets policy”
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Replying to @DanielleFong @Ol_Wall and
= Do everything we can, as people concerned with public health
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