Unfortunately no. Some early flu pandemics had .1%, not the 2.3.% we are seeing now. The 1918 Spanish flu pandemic had anywhere from a 2.5% to 10% mortality rate. 3-6% of the global population died from that specific flu that humans were never exposed to.https://twitter.com/rajatsuri/status/1223084004892532737 …
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Replying to @georgezachary
There is considerable conflation of diagnosis & contraction of “corona”. Actual virality is much lower than it would seem. I think this will turn out to be comparable to other forms of influenza. World War Z it is not.
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Replying to @elonmusk @georgezachary
Seems like R0 was ~4 early and mid January and now ~2.2 after quarantine set it; still very very difficult to control. Seems like it’s firmly in between a standard flu and 1918 on a log normal plot. Regardless heartening to see countries and the WHO taking action
10:28 AM - 31 Jan 2020
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