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On
@CNBC w/ top picks for 2020. Also discussed managing my$AAPL position throughout the yr with shorts & longs profitable in 2019 due to proper position sizing & active trading. Happy NY to all! https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/12/31/dan-niles-gives-his-tech-outlook-for-2020.html …https://twitter.com/DanielTNiles/status/1211791674755567617 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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In the short-term, emotions drive mkts, not fundamentals. A yr ago, this tweet shows why I was bullish despite a nasty Q4. Today, the S&P is +37% vs 12/24/18 w/ a good finish likely. But thinking about the start to nxt yr to quote a legend, “Be fearful when others are greedy.” https://twitter.com/DanielTNiles/status/1076623515300708352 …pic.twitter.com/ZVi3EGfdoE
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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When the S&P is up 20%+ going into the last 2 weeks of the year, it has has gained another 2.1% on average to finish the year and has been down only 3 times. But after buying rumors of a phase1 trade deal, is this year different? Probably not but interesting 2 weeks remaining…pic.twitter.com/mWbYxYRGe5
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Our view on
@CNBC Sundar Pichai taking over as the sole CEO of$GOOGL & parent Alphabet. Page/Brin are iconic founders that turned their company into a verb but have not been that involved for years.https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/03/sundar-pichai-alphabets-new-wartime-ceo.html …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
On
@CNBC at 5:15 PM EST talking about the market rally, China, & themes I am focused on for 2020.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
$DIS (top 5 long) streaming hit 10M sign ups after a day vs expectations of after a year & 60-90M forecast by 2024.$NFLX (top 5 short) has 61M US subs after 12 yrs & missed their US subs forecast for 2 qtrs in a row…& counting w/ HBO Max ($T) & Peacock ($CMCSA) streaming cominghttps://twitter.com/DanielTNiles/status/1184592292243542016 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
With S&P500 ETF +5.3% since covering it all & @ at all-time high, risk/reward not great again despite trade progress. Have put short all back on. Believe Fed will cut & “pause” today, economic data mixed at best & LT multiples such as Wilshire5K capitalization vs GDP near highs.https://twitter.com/DanielTNiles/status/1179446998660894721 …
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
My stocks do not always perform well. This is clearly not an issue for my godson,
@24Kgoldn, who on his first national tour opening for@landonvoncube crushed his performance at Slim’s in SF. Check out his signature song, Valentino. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=trU-S53fK04 …pic.twitter.com/EZzGQk7dK8
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Activision/Tencent’s Call of Duty Mobile gained 20M gamers in 2 days. After 2 yrs of punishment from the rise of free-to-play, successfully adapting games for smartphones (1.5B units sold last yr vs ~50M game consoles) opens up a huge growth avenue.
$ATVI is my largest long.https://twitter.com/DanielTNiles/status/1169333155083378688 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
~15% of my hedge fund short S&P500 ETF. Two of my short-term indicators are flashing oversold. % of S&P>20day moving average is at 9% w/ 20% oversold. VIX is over 20. Covering SPY short today but keeping most others. Still may need “more blood in the streets” per Rothschild.https://twitter.com/DanielTNiles/status/1176146772449583106 …
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Negative pre-announcement season starting. S&P near highs again despite ongoing trade war, attacks on oil fields, HK protests, Brexit uncertainty & evidence of an IT spending slowdown even in software sector. I have gone from aggressively long to cautious at these levels again.
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
During vacation my sons were prepping for the World of WarCraft Classic relaunch which peaked at 12M subscribers & today is estimated <3M. Betting my nerds were typical, I bought $ATVI
How many other subs could come back vs just a nostalgia bump? Hopefully @Ninja is a good omen.https://twitter.com/Ninja/status/1168909620502573056 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Last week on the North shore of Oahu, I enjoyed trying to surf something other than the surges and steep drops of the market. What a great family vacation!pic.twitter.com/DsS886qT0p
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Great interview w/
@JonFortt@CarlQuintanilla@MorganLBrennan on whether anything changed w/ yield curve inversion and why policy is making it hard to invest on fundamentals.https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/08/14/alphaones-dan-niles-policy-uncertainty-making-it-hard-to-invest.html …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Expected a short-term bounce but 3.3% in 3 days? Wow! Seems too Bobby McFerrin-like. S&P less than 3% from record high despite threat of new tariffs & yuan drop to 11 year low. Added back some hardware shorts related to new tariffs near the close. https://youtu.be/d-diB65scQU?t=28 …https://twitter.com/DanielTNiles/status/1158821459206107137 …
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Before the mkt open,
@MariaBartiromo & I discuss why I covered over half my shorts yesterday & expected a short-term bounce today before heading lower. Also what stocks would I still avoid & where I am planning to buy.https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6068623182001/#sp=show-clips …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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