Daniel Niles

@DanielTNiles

Founder AlphaOne Capital Partners, Financial Commentator Alumni, Tech Nerd, Bad Tennis Player, Proud Dad

Vrijeme pridruživanja: listopad 2013.

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  1. 2. sij

    On w/ top picks for 2020. Also discussed managing my position throughout the yr with shorts & longs profitable in 2019 due to proper position sizing & active trading. Happy NY to all!

    Poništi
  2. 30. pro 2019.

    2019 Recap: As a hedge fund, we can’t disclose fund performance but is our largest position & top profit generator. & round out our top five profit generators for 2019. are our top 5 ideas for 2020. is our favorite pick.

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  3. 25. pro 2019.

    In the short-term, emotions drive mkts, not fundamentals. A yr ago, this tweet shows why I was bullish despite a nasty Q4. Today, the S&P is +37% vs 12/24/18 w/ a good finish likely. But thinking about the start to nxt yr to quote a legend, “Be fearful when others are greedy.”

    Poništi
  4. 19. pro 2019.

    Missed QE restart, semi sector strength & iPhone demand (but bought in Sept & own today). Top picks (lasers to Apple), & (semis for cloud), , (streaming) performed as expected. Batting avg & flexibility is key to investing.

    Poništi
  5. 16. pro 2019.

    When the S&P is up 20%+ going into the last 2 weeks of the year, it has has gained another 2.1% on average to finish the year and has been down only 3 times. But after buying rumors of a phase1 trade deal, is this year different? Probably not but interesting 2 weeks remaining…

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  6. 4. pro 2019.

    Our view on Sundar Pichai taking over as the sole CEO of & parent Alphabet. Page/Brin are iconic founders that turned their company into a verb but have not been that involved for years.

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  7. 20. stu 2019.

    On at 5:15 PM EST talking about the market rally, China, & themes I am focused on for 2020.

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  8. 13. stu 2019.

    (top 5 long) streaming hit 10M sign ups after a day vs expectations of after a year & 60-90M forecast by 2024. (top 5 short) has 61M US subs after 12 yrs & missed their US subs forecast for 2 qtrs in a row…& counting w/ HBO Max ($T) & Peacock ($CMCSA) streaming coming

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  9. 30. lis 2019.

    With S&P500 ETF +5.3% since covering it all & @ at all-time high, risk/reward not great again despite trade progress. Have put short all back on. Believe Fed will cut & “pause” today, economic data mixed at best & LT multiples such as Wilshire5K capitalization vs GDP near highs.

    Poništi
  10. 20. lis 2019.

    My stocks do not always perform well. This is clearly not an issue for my godson, , who on his first national tour opening for crushed his performance at Slim’s in SF. Check out his signature song, Valentino.

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  11. 16. lis 2019.

    missed their subscriber guide for 2nd qtr in a row. I had covered ~85% of my recent Sept short expecting a short covering rally post results. I increased my position ~33% in the after-mkt & plan to do more w/ competition from streaming services coming.

    Poništi
  12. 3. lis 2019.

    Activision/Tencent’s Call of Duty Mobile gained 20M gamers in 2 days. After 2 yrs of punishment from the rise of free-to-play, successfully adapting games for smartphones (1.5B units sold last yr vs ~50M game consoles) opens up a huge growth avenue. is my largest long.

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  13. 2. lis 2019.

    ~15% of my hedge fund short S&P500 ETF. Two of my short-term indicators are flashing oversold. % of S&P>20day moving average is at 9% w/ 20% oversold. VIX is over 20. Covering SPY short today but keeping most others. Still may need “more blood in the streets” per Rothschild.

    Poništi
  14. 24. ruj 2019.

    Wall Street firm claims called asking firms to cut Dec qtr due to pulling in demand in front of the Sept 1 tariffs. If accurate, bad for many others in supply chain. I sold earlier as I got more cautious but at some point will buy back for 2020 opportunities.

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  15. 23. ruj 2019.

    Negative pre-announcement season starting. S&P near highs again despite ongoing trade war, attacks on oil fields, HK protests, Brexit uncertainty & evidence of an IT spending slowdown even in software sector. I have gone from aggressively long to cautious at these levels again.

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  16. 4. ruj 2019.

    During vacation my sons were prepping for the World of WarCraft Classic relaunch which peaked at 12M subscribers & today is estimated <3M. Betting my nerds were typical, I bought $ATVI😊How many other subs could come back vs just a nostalgia bump? Hopefully is a good omen.

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  17. 27. kol 2019.

    Last week on the North shore of Oahu, I enjoyed trying to surf something other than the surges and steep drops of the market. What a great family vacation!

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  18. 15. kol 2019.

    Great interview w/ on whether anything changed w/ yield curve inversion and why policy is making it hard to invest on fundamentals.

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  19. 8. kol 2019.

    Expected a short-term bounce but 3.3% in 3 days? Wow! Seems too Bobby McFerrin-like. S&P less than 3% from record high despite threat of new tariffs & yuan drop to 11 year low. Added back some hardware shorts related to new tariffs near the close.

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  20. 6. kol 2019.

    Before the mkt open, & I discuss why I covered over half my shorts yesterday & expected a short-term bounce today before heading lower. Also what stocks would I still avoid & where I am planning to buy.

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