I need a “how did Russia convince itself the optimal play was to try to win the war in Ukraine on a bargain-basement military budget” WTYP episode
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They probably could have occupied majority of the country successfully if they approached it as a war instead of expecting it to be like Czechoslovakia in 1968. They still would have lost over time, but not in such a humiliating way and they could have done a lot more genocide.
Their army is designed around having a huge number of BTGs with a mix of professional soldiers and conscripts kept at low strength during peace time. It's meant to have a bunch of officers and few actual infantry troops. Meant to be filled in by fully mobilizing via conscription.
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Officially, Russia is only using professional volunteers including mercenaries. They aren't sending the conscripts and haven't mobilized. Due to corruption, some conscripts are being sent, and they forcefully mobilized Ukrainian population in occupied territory as cannon fodder.
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