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NEW: #Ukraine has inflicted a major operational defeat on #Russia, recapturing almost all of #Kharkiv Oblast in a rapid counter-offensive. Ukraine has turned the tide in its favor, but the current counter-offensive will not end the war. /1 Our latest: iswresearch.org

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I said this a few hours ago, the logical move for Russia is to collapse to defending pre-war holdings of Crimea and LHR/DNR consolidating its remaining troops in a dense defensive line until a new army can be raised which may take as long as a year.

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Retreating from Kherson implies handing over a massive amount of heavy weapons to Ukraine, far more than they already did in Kharkiv. Ukraine doesn't have to cross the river there. They can simply hold it and cross uncontested further north. Time is also on Ukraine's side.

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Russia doesn't have a bunch more people who want to go fight and die in Ukraine, especially now that they're losing. There's no risk of Ukraine invading Russia, therefore no real reason for them to fight. Ukraine has massive available manpower requiring training and weapons.

5:34 AM · Sep 12, 2022Twitter Web App

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