remains astonishing to me that there’s no real way to know what an eth transaction actually does before signing it, and the ecosystem is basically fine with this
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You can't just run it on a private fork of the chain and see? I know nothing about this junk but that seems like how it "should" work..?
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For Bitcoin, the flow is almost always generating a transaction with your wallet. There are only a small set of operations which can be composed to implement straightforward things. For example, Lightning channels are simple 2-of-2 multisig with a timelock setup for recovery.
In some cases, for doing multisig with multiple wallets, you would be generating a partially signed transaction fully understood by each wallet involved.
For both multisig and hardware wallets, it's important that it's fully understood and displayed by the UI for confirmation.
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Ethereum has complex arbitrary code with loops, method calls and interactions across contracts. The wallets for working with Ethereum have no idea what they're approving. Users have no idea what they're actually approving and it's pretty easy for all their stuff to be stolen.
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