Daniel Kuehn

@D_Kuehn

Senior Research Associate, the Urban Institute. Apprenticeship, STEM workforce, educ & training, diversity & inclusion. AU Econ PhD, GWU MPP. RT=/=endorsement.

Virginia
Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2012.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    26. sij

    I just found out my paper on Warren Nutter's involvement in undermining Salvador Allende in Chile was accepted for publication at Research in the History of Economic Thought and Methodology! A revised version of the paper is here:

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 10 sati
    Odgovor korisnicima

    Better yet, try to turn a red senate seat blue in the Midwest.

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  3. prije 10 sati

    Note this isn’t just a call for college for all: it’s a call for college for all integrated and not opposed to technical and career training. The artificial opposition of the two is not meaningful and not helpful.

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  4. prije 11 sati

    I’m just spitballing here.

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  5. prije 11 sati

    Actually a Sanders-Buttigieg ticket could be really compelling.

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  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 11 sati

    Unlike the onion which is low variance and high mean, Babylon bee is high variance and low mean. But this one made me laugh.

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    “Our results show that more stringent licensing regulations are associated with less competition and higher prices but not with any improvement in customer satisfaction as measured by review ratings or the propensity to use the platform again.”

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  8. prije 12 sati

    I think someone’s got some high criming and misdemeanoring planned for 2020!

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 12 sati

    Look, Bernie is not my guy. But if you don’t think this is better than Trump then ... I just don’t know

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 14 sati
    Odgovor korisnicima

    Lawns are not bad. They look nice.

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  11. prije 14 sati

    Unanimity rules are the dictatorship of the anarchist.

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 15 sati

    Trade is good. Even imperfect trade agreements make us richer. See , Open, for eloquent exposition. The principal flaw in our economy is not that we trade, but that the gains from growth are distributed so inequitably.

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  13. prije 16 sati

    It’s true! Vote in the primary how you want to (I won’t be voting for Bernie), but start getting ready for it! Sanders Makes Last-Minute Appeal To Moderates By Reminding Them All His Policies Would End Up Being Watered Down To Their Positions Anyway

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    5. velj

    I will definitely vote for Bernie if he is the nominee. So I am much more likely to vote for Bernie if he is the nominee than is to vote for Biden if he is. Prove me wrong . Pledge to vote for Biden if he is the nominee. Otherwise, be quiet.

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  15. prije 21 sat

    Always an interesting report, Urban Institute does very well with special acknowledgement of our data science investments. HT 2019 Global Go To Think Tank Index Report

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  16. prije 21 sat

    This is true which is why people who don't think of themselves as leftists should enthusiastically get behind Bernie and just enjoy rolling your eyes and shaking your head and saying "there he goes again!" when the socialism stuff comes up. It'll be alright, I promise!

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 22 sata
    Odgovor korisnicima

    Nate's primary insight in general election polling is that states are *not* independent variables, but are pretty tightly correlated -- especially demographically similar states. In primaries, where "momentum" and "bounces" are a factor, this is likely even more true.

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  18. prije 22 sata

    But I don't know how the polling works. I just would have thought the other states would be modeled, not perfectly independently but fairly independently and that past polling would steady the model more. It is a crowded field which probably makes it jumpier too. /4

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  19. prije 22 sata

    And to Henrique's point again this is a pretty reasonable thing (to reassess Biden) but (and I'm a broken record at this point) we have lots and lots of polling on Biden outside Iowa. Does the model really assume Iowa has that much information embedded in it? Seems surprising. /3

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  20. prije 22 sata

    To RJ's point is it "one real data point" though? Don't we have a whole ream of polls getting fed into this? If that's what it is then that means 538 doesn't take history into account in a way I guess I didn't expect or assume Iowa results REALLY enter into other states. /2

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  21. prije 22 sata

    Thanks . But to Kevin's point that suggests either the model doesn't take history into account at all or it ascribes real significance to Iowa (which isn't wrong of course but it's still a striking change). 1/

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